FPG GBPUSD Market Report February 25, 2026

On the GBPUSD chart with the H1 timeframe, price initially recorded two consecutive bearish drops, declining from 1.3581 to 1.3433. After reaching that low, the pair staged a rebound and reversed into a bullish move toward 1.3535. Currently, price is trading around 1.3495 and continues to move within a sideways channel, indicating short-term consolidation.

Bollinger Bands show price fluctuating near the middle band, suggesting neutral momentum and range-bound conditions. The Parabolic SAR dots have recently shifted, reflecting a slight directional change. The MFI (14) is hovering around the mid-level (near 50), indicating balanced buying and selling pressure without overbought or oversold signals. Meanwhile, the MACD (12,26,9) histogram is relatively flat around the zero line, showing weakening bullish momentum and lack of strong trend continuation.

Over the past three days, GBPUSD has fluctuated around the 1.35 area after Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that a rate cut decision remains open, while UK services inflation remained relatively elevated. Meanwhile, minutes from the Federal Reserve reflected a cautious stance on policy easing, supporting the US dollar and putting pressure on the pound. Technically, GBPUSD briefly touched a one-month low before staging a limited rebound during the Asian session, with overall market sentiment remaining cautious.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice

1. Current Position: GBPUSD is trading around 1.3495, moving within a sideways consolidation range after rebounding from 1.3433. The short-term structure shows ranging behavior, with price fluctuating around the mid-Bollinger Band, indicating neutral momentum.

2. Resistance Zone: Immediate resistance is located at 1.3535 (recent swing high and upper range boundary). A confirmed breakout above this level may open the path toward 1.3581 as the next major resistance.

3. Support Zone: Nearest support stands at 1.3469, followed by stronger structural support at 1.3433 (previous swing low). A breakdown below 1.3433 could signal renewed bearish momentum.

4. Indicator Observation: MFI (14) is near the 50 level, reflecting balanced buying and selling pressure. MACD (12,26,9) is hovering around the zero line with a flattening histogram, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands are slightly narrowing, indicating volatility compression and potential breakout setup.

5. Trading Strategy Suggestions:

• Range Strategy: Consider buy near support (1.3469) and sell near resistance (1.3535) while price remains inside the channel.

• Bullish Breakout Scenario: A strong H1 close above 1.3535 may confirm upside continuation toward 1.3581.

• Bearish Breakdown Scenario: A decisive break below 1.3469-1.3433 may expose further downside, potentially extending the prior bearish structure.

Market Performance:

Forex Last Price % Change

EUR/USD 1.1777 +0.04%

USD/JPY 155.90 +0.01%

Todays Key Economic Calendar:

US: Fed Barkin & Collins Speeches

US: API Crude Oil Stock Change

AU: Construction Work Done QoQ

AU: Inflation Rate MoM & YoY

AU: RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM & YoY

US: President Trump State of the Union Speech

DE: GfK Consumer Confidence

CN: FDI (YTD) YoY

US: MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

US: Fed Barkin Speech

US: EIA Crude Oil & Gasoline Stocks Change

Risk Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult your financial advisor for personalized investment strategies.