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Abstract：When it came to the early response to the December inflation data on Thursday, the US Dollar (USD) performed better than its competitors. However, it was unable to maintain its gain as US Treasury bond yields declined later in the American session. Even though the markets are quiet early on Friday, US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for December may cause volatility to increase before the weekend.
What you need know on Friday, January 12 is as follows:
When it came to the early response to the December inflation data on Thursday, the US Dollar (USD) performed better than its competitors. However, it was unable to maintain its gain as US Treasury bond yields declined later in the American session. Even though the markets are quiet early on Friday, US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for December may cause volatility to increase before the weekend.
US PPI Preview: Is there yet another encouraging development in store？
According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report released on Thursday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is used to monitor inflation in the US, increased to 3.4% annually in December. This print was better than the 3.2% market estimate and came in after November's 3.1%. As anticipated, the Core CPI, which does not include volatile food and energy costs, increased by 0.3% on a monthly basis. Following the inflation news, the USD Index surged to a five-day high of 102.76, but it ended the day flat below 102.50 as the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note failed to stay above 4%.
US dollar exchange rate for this week
The US dollar's (USD) percentage movement compared to a list of major currencies for this week is displayed in the table below. In relation to the pound sterling, the US dollar was the weakest.
| USD | EUR | GBP | CAD | AUD | JPY | NZD | CHF | |
| USD | -0.30% | -0.47% | 0.12% | 0.23% | 0.24% | 0.11% | 0.14% | |
| EUR | 0.32% | -0.14% | 0.44% | 0.55% | 0.57% | 0.42% | 0.47% | |
| GBP | 0.49% | 0.19% | 0.61% | 0.72% | 0.74% | 0.61% | 0.62% | |
| CAD | -0.11% | -0.41% | -0.58% | 0.12% | 0.15% | 0.00% | 0.03% | |
| AUD | -0.23% | -0.54% | -0.71% | -0.11% | 0.04% | -0.14% | -0.09% | |
| JPY | -0.27% | -0.56% | -0.72% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.10% | |
| NZD | -0.08% | -0.39% | -0.55% | 0.04% | 0.15% | 0.16% | 0.05% | |
| CHF | -0.13% | -0.48% | -0.63% | -0.02% | 0.10% | 0.10% | -0.05% |
The major currencies' percentage movements relative to one another are displayed on the heat map. The quotation currency is selected from the top row, and the base currency is selected from the left column. For example, the percentage change shown in the box will indicate EUR (base)/JPY (quote) if you select the Euro from the left column and proceed along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen.
Data from China during Asian trade hours showed that the Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1% on a monthly basis in December, following a 0.5% decline in November. Additional data from China revealed that the trade surplus increased from $68.39 billion to $75.34 billion in December. This figure exceeded the $74.75 billion market estimate for an excess. However, as of the last moment, both the Shanghai Composite and the Hang Seng indexes were trading unchanged for the day. In the early European session, US market index futures saw slight declines.
After a tumultuous American day, EUR/USD eventually stabilized above 1.0950. Philip Lane, the chief economist of the European Central Bank, will give a lecture on Friday during European market hours.
Following a 0.3% contraction in October, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) said on Friday that the Gross Domestic Product expanded by 0.3% on a monthly basis in November. Additionally, the ONS reported that during the same time frame, manufacturing and industrial production grew by 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The GBP/USD pair did not respond immediately to these data; it was last observed fluctuating within a small range above 1.2750.
Following a month-high gain above 146.50, USD/JPY retraced its losses and ended the day down on Thursday. Early on Friday, the pair remains under pressure and trades at roughly 145.00.
US bond yields began to decline in the second half of Thursday, which helped gold, and it continued to rise during the Asian session on Friday. As of this writing, XAU/USD is holding onto slight daily gains above $2,030.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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